Just now, 24 local time, who director general Tan Desai said that hope should be brought to all countries. The key message of courage and confidence is that "the (new crown) virus can be contained".
"We are encouraged by the continuous decline in the number of cases in China," Tan said at the meeting
He briefly announced China China novel coronavirus pneumonia joint expert inspection team (hereinafter referred to as the inspection team) in China after its inspection. One of the important findings is that there is no significant variation in the DNA of the virus at present. "The WHO has a" new "mutation.
While expressing deep concern about the sudden surge in cases in Italy, Iran and South Korea, Mr. tandesay also said that it was not the time to declare the new coronavirus epidemic a global epidemic.
There is no obvious variation in virus DNA
Tan Desai said that the team has finished its visit to China and issued a report. The team has traveled to several provinces in China, including Wuhan, and has made a series of findings on the transmissibility of the virus, the severity of the disease and the impact of the measures taken. For example, the team found that the epidemic peaked between January 23 and February 2, and then declined steadily.
At the same time, there was no obvious variation of virus DNA. Tan Desai said the team also found that the mortality rate of the new coronavirus epidemic in Wuhan was between 2% and 4%, and that outside Wuhan was 0.7%.
Novel coronavirus pneumonia patients were novel coronavirus pneumonia patients, and the recovery time was about two weeks, he pointed out. The recovery time of severe or severe new crown pneumonia patients was three to six weeks.
Tan stressed that the expert group also estimated that China has taken measures to avoid (more) a large number of cases.
China Health Commission of China China novel coronavirus pneumonia joint expert inspection team held a press conference in Beijing on February 24th, introducing the investigation and suggestions on prevention and control of China and the global epidemic situation, according to the website of the National Defense Construction Commission website, after ending a 9 day inspection in China in February 24th. The team considered that novel coronavirus is a new pathogen, and the understanding of the mechanism of viral transmission and the severity of the disease is still deepening. The global prevention and control work is still facing serious challenges. China has hitherto unknown novel coronavirus pneumonia measures, which has achieved significant results in slowing down the spread of the epidemic and blocking the interpersonal transmission of the virus, and has avoided or at least delayed hundreds of thousands of new crown pneumonia cases.
In addition, China has also played a crucial role in protecting the international community, gaining valuable time for all countries to take active prevention and control measures, and providing valuable experience for reference. China is taking a prudent, phased and orderly approach to gradually restore normal order in all sectors of society, economy, education and medical care. Other countries should promptly reassess the measures taken against China.
There is no need to declare the new outbreak a global epidemic
At present, 2074 cases have occurred in 28 countries outside China, including 23 deaths, Tan said.
Indeed, in recent days, the new coronavirus epidemic in Japan, South Korea, Italy, Iran and other countries showed a surge. There is a lot of speculation about whether these increases mean that the epidemic has now become a global epidemic, "we understand why people ask this question," he said He explained that who's decision to use the term "global epidemic" to describe an epidemic is based on an ongoing assessment of the geographic spread of the virus, the severity of the disease it causes and its impact on society as a whole.
"At present, we have not seen the global spread of this virus, nor have we seen large-scale serious diseases or deaths." "Does the virus have pandemic potential? Absolutely. But are we at this point? According to our assessment, not yet. "
"What we see is that epidemics affect countries in different ways around the world, and targeted responses are needed." "The sudden increase in new cases is undoubtedly worrying, but I've been talking about facts, not fears," he said
"It's not true to use the word pandemic now, but it's almost certain to cause fear." It's not the time to focus on what words we use, and focusing on it won't stop infection or save lives, Mr. tandesay said.
The world is not either or. At present, we must concentrate on containing the virus and make every effort to prepare for a potential global epidemic, three of which are the top priorities, Mr. tandesay said.
First, all countries must give priority to the protection of health workers. Second, we need to involve communities to protect those most at risk of serious diseases, especially the elderly and those with underlying diseases, he said. Thirdly, we must do our best to protect the most vulnerable countries by doing our best in those countries that can contain the epidemic. Once again, he stressed that the new coronavirus is a global threat.
"This is because we know that we have had a global pandemic disease before, and we are very familiar with influenza. When seasonal influenza occurs in an efficient community transmission, the disease can indeed spread all over the world." As a result, it's easy to conclude that, in the case of influenza, there will be a global pandemic. However, we do not know the absolute transmission dynamics of the new coronavirus. Looking at what's going on in China, we see that the number of cases has dropped dramatically as a result of containment measures against the virus, Ryan said. This continuous decline in the number of cases contradicts the logic of a global pandemic. But we also see a surge in the number of cases in some countries, such as South Korea.
Director general tandesay has said it over and over again. Now is the time to be ready. So we are at the stage of preparing for a global epidemic, Ryan said.
There are already a number of countries spreading diseases to the outside world, and it's time to make every effort to prepare for a global epidemic. Ryan stressed, however, that it is too early to declare this a global epidemic.
”We are still trying to avoid this reality and this possibility, and countries have the conditions for success. " Ryan points out.
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